In the ever-evolving world of commercial real estate, one thing remains certain: there is always opportunity for the astute and visionary investor. A trend recently spotlighted by Montreal-based firm, Groupe Mach, led by Vincent Chiara, provides compelling evidence that, despite uncertainties in the market, opportunities abound for those ready to seize them.
With occupancy rates of many office spaces dropping significantly, there’s been a natural apprehension among investors regarding the future of office properties. However, Groupe Mach has recognized an intriguing prospect: acquiring office properties at prices that, in many instances, fall below the value of the land they occupy. This has set the stage for a strategy known as the buy-and-knock-down trade.
Groupe Mach’s strategy is simple yet brilliant. With an investment of over C$1 billion since March 2020, they’ve been rapidly purchasing office buildings with a clear intent: to potentially demolish them and repurpose the land for high-demand residential development. Cities across Canada, mirroring global urban centers, are grappling with housing shortages. Chiara’s keen observation – that land suitable for new residential projects carries a premium – is driving this approach.
For instance, a recent acquisition in Toronto – an old office complex purchased for C$165 million – reveals the potential for 2.5 million square feet of residential space. Chiara’s estimates put the land value alone at a whopping C$250 million, a figure comfortably offsetting the demolition costs of the existing structures.
Groupe Mach isn’t the only player in this arena. Recent data from Altus Group indicates significant movement in office building purchases since the pandemic’s onset, hinting at a wider recognition of the opportunities in repurposing these assets. But what does this mean for commercial real estate investors and professionals?
For one, there’s the potential stabilization of office values. The very consideration of office buildings as ripe for redevelopment might set a lower limit on their market price allowing this strategy to find takers globally, heralding a more proactive approach to asset redevelopment.
The benefits don’t stop at the investor level. Municipalities burdened with vacant office spaces, especially given the current economic climate, might find it easier to greenlight rezoning requests, prioritizing housing developments over empty offices.
Of course, any strategy comes with its nuances. In Canada, unlike the US, there’s been a notable absence of loan defaults, a phenomenon attributed to the country’s unique lending dynamics. This factor, combined with Chiara’s optimistic outlook on office building prices bottoming out, underscores why such an investment strategy could be particularly potent in the Canadian market.
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